Post by Free Guns For All on May 1, 2012 4:48:27 GMT -5
Okay, so the theories behind the votes so far.
Vote: Lynch Boltor
Vote: Lynch Hoodhat
Hoodhat voted No Lynch in the first round, but then opted to not vote at all in the second round, despite having posted in the discussion about lynching Naba and then even pointing suspicion at Boltor's activity. I believe that Hoodhat's activity, first voting for not to lynch and then abstaining altogether, are a part of an effort to stay under the radar and not ruffle any feathers by getting someone else's name on the Lynch Board.
This is my current thought process. With all of the intrigue involved with all of this, a good argument can still possible cause me to change my mind.
edit: fixed a spelling error
Vote: Markanite
I've seen how this cowboy takes care of the cattle more than once, and I recognize his method. He tossed the stone on Escanaba first, then now he comes saying that the wolves are smart, although that sounds as a redundant statement at this point: we already concluded that Thanya was a free vote.
This way to play reminds me of his usual method as a Desperadoes: minimal participation, although ready to jump in to see if he's active, no though about wolves moves but eager to lynch: a patter I've already seen.
Mix it with his pattern when he's a good fella, always more active and ready to reason, and the fact he's a veteran and he's doing is best to stay on sight without being seen....I'll bite the bullet and try this idea of mine, seeing if I figured something out.
Anyway, there's clearly not much to go on. The bad guys don't seem to be leaving any tracks. I'm going to cast my lynch vote for Cal again. It still seems strange to me (maybe not others, I'll admit) that he asked Esca to explain his reasoning. Esca's mistake immediately placed him in a position of having to answer a "Have you stopped beating your wife?" type of question, which no matter what he said was going to cast suspicion on him for not saying it the first time.....As a follow-up, it does seem that Tanz has been quiet in this thread, as has been pointed out by someone else. However, it's interesting that as soon as Aerso pointed out to Cal that players had been lynched for modifying their posts, Tanz immediately jumped to Cal's defense within a minute of Aerso's. In fact, Tanz then followed his own post with another. Aerso, apparently, backed-off, although Rando appears to have had the last word, saying that modifiers had indeed been lynched in the past....Anyway, short-story-long, and I'll agree it's not strong, but the nature of Tanz's immediate and continued support of Cal's modification leads me to suspect there may be more to it than meets the eye.
Vote: Lynch Cal
First has said Mark is playing out of the ordinary. I've seen him play like this before and I'm pretty sure he was innocent. I'm leaning towards Mark being good (though with little to back myself up with). I think someone's looking to kill an innocent.
Vote: Lynch First
Also, Barry: I don't think Escanaba's death was because of Cal. If Naba had said something like "I just picked randomly" the first time, he wouldn't have brought suspicion onto himself. I usually ask for reasoning behind a vote myself, in case they picked up something I missed. Unless I've misread something, that could disprove your theory. That being said, I may have to jump on the Tanz bandwagon if you're right.
Boltor said he actually enjoys making me nervous by his silence. that's enough to earn my vote since he would normally have posted something insightful by now if he was innocent. i agree that the desperados have at least 1 veteran on their team and my money is on LB
Vote: Lynch Boltor
After looking back at things, I think I do have a vote, for now at least:
Vote: Lynch Hoodhat
Hoodhat voted No Lynch in the first round, but then opted to not vote at all in the second round, despite having posted in the discussion about lynching Naba and then even pointing suspicion at Boltor's activity. I believe that Hoodhat's activity, first voting for not to lynch and then abstaining altogether, are a part of an effort to stay under the radar and not ruffle any feathers by getting someone else's name on the Lynch Board.
This is my current thought process. With all of the intrigue involved with all of this, a good argument can still possible cause me to change my mind.
edit: fixed a spelling error
Shiz (going with the name I learned, why did you changed yours) said something good about Hoodhat, but I've decided who's gonna get my bullet today.
Vote: Markanite
I've seen how this cowboy takes care of the cattle more than once, and I recognize his method. He tossed the stone on Escanaba first, then now he comes saying that the wolves are smart, although that sounds as a redundant statement at this point: we already concluded that Thanya was a free vote.
This way to play reminds me of his usual method as a Desperadoes: minimal participation, although ready to jump in to see if he's active, no though about wolves moves but eager to lynch: a patter I've already seen.
Mix it with his pattern when he's a good fella, always more active and ready to reason, and the fact he's a veteran and he's doing is best to stay on sight without being seen....I'll bite the bullet and try this idea of mine, seeing if I figured something out.
Okay, it looks like everybody has pretty much boarded themselves up for the night already. Seems a bit early, but the bad guys seem to have everyone around here spooked into silence, fearing if they say anything the innocents will hang ‘em today, or the desperados will gun ‘em down tonight….Oops (*gingerly rubbing neck*)…probably shouldn’t have said that. ;D
Anyway, there's clearly not much to go on. The bad guys don't seem to be leaving any tracks. I'm going to cast my lynch vote for Cal again. It still seems strange to me (maybe not others, I'll admit) that he asked Esca to explain his reasoning. Esca's mistake immediately placed him in a position of having to answer a "Have you stopped beating your wife?" type of question, which no matter what he said was going to cast suspicion on him for not saying it the first time.....As a follow-up, it does seem that Tanz has been quiet in this thread, as has been pointed out by someone else. However, it's interesting that as soon as Aerso pointed out to Cal that players had been lynched for modifying their posts, Tanz immediately jumped to Cal's defense within a minute of Aerso's. In fact, Tanz then followed his own post with another. Aerso, apparently, backed-off, although Rando appears to have had the last word, saying that modifiers had indeed been lynched in the past....Anyway, short-story-long, and I'll agree it's not strong, but the nature of Tanz's immediate and continued support of Cal's modification leads me to suspect there may be more to it than meets the eye.
Vote: Lynch Cal
First has said Mark is playing out of the ordinary. I've seen him play like this before and I'm pretty sure he was innocent. I'm leaning towards Mark being good (though with little to back myself up with). I think someone's looking to kill an innocent.
Vote: Lynch First
Also, Barry: I don't think Escanaba's death was because of Cal. If Naba had said something like "I just picked randomly" the first time, he wouldn't have brought suspicion onto himself. I usually ask for reasoning behind a vote myself, in case they picked up something I missed. Unless I've misread something, that could disprove your theory. That being said, I may have to jump on the Tanz bandwagon if you're right.