Post by Jabberwocky on Feb 3, 2024 0:09:36 GMT -5
Folks, we’re about 13 hours away from the end of the phase and nobody else has anything that they think is fishy and want to discuss? If we vote wrong we will likely lose and it’s very helpful to the village to have a lot of conversation. Silence benefits the wolves. It’s really not looking good for the village but rather than simply giving up you could at least use this time as an opportunity to sharpen your wolf spotting skills to help in future games. Stop standing by watching and participate. Accuse someone and then make a case to support your claim. Vote.
Just in case I don’t get back online in the morning before the phase ends, there is something else that we need to discuss and decide as a group. If we don’t find a wolf today it’ll be 4-3 going into the night and if the wolves kill anyone then the game is over. However, we still have a defender and an elder who I believe still has both lives. That means that there is a 50% chance that the wolves hit one of them and fail as long as the defender defends them self. If the defender has to defend someone else then there’s a 50% chance that they accidentally defend a wolf which would increase the wolves chances to 75% successfully making a kill. One way to reduce their odds a bit would be to name the player that we want the defender to protect if the defender can’t defend them self. (By knowing who can’t be killed, the wolves would have to choose between 3 targets, one of whom is the elder and won’t die, giving them a 67% chance of killing). I would suggest that I be the one defended because I’m the only person who is defended because I’m the only person who is 100% accepted as a verified villager and that makes me the prime target for tonight. Thoughts?