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XKI Generation: The Redesign Generation XKI Map Nation Color: Gray XKI NS Join Year: 143 - Friday, 28 January 2011 Historical XKI Political Party: MSPP - Mayor Shelter Political Party Ancient House of: Echolilia
Post by HumanSanity on Mar 30, 2020 12:30:43 GMT -5
I think large gatherings of 250+ people will be canceled well into August.
I think stay at home orders will be rescinded mid-May
I think broader "social distancing" guidelines are going to last until July
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XKI Generation: The Upgrade Generation XKI Map Nation Color: Red XKI NS Join Year: 210 - Saturday, 18 October 2014 Historical XKI Political Party: MSPP - Mayor Shelter Political Party Ancient House of: Ananke
I think social distancing and targeted isolations will be recommended for some months to come. Ordered lockdowns and shelter in place requirements will be lifted as soon as possible. For instance, here we’ve all been inside since March 17. I don’t think we’ll be held inside beyond mid April.
There’s only so long people will stay indoors and isolated; blowback is already beginning to pick up.
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XKI Generation: The Shelter Generation XKI NS Join Year: 203 - Thursday, 29 May 2014 Historical XKI Political Party: TCP - The Circle Party Ancient House of: Louisistan
Going of a civil protection risk analysis I've read:
Influenza Pandemics (which this one isn't but apparently in this regard Coronaviruses are close enough) come in waves of six to eight weeks each. Meaning, current restrictions are likely to be lifted some time in May (or a gradual lifting starting end of April maybe?) and likely to be reinstated later this year, again for a similar timeframe. That being said, the current restrictions aren't actually fighting the pandemic wave. They are delaying and spreading it out over time, so that healthcare systems can prepare and deal with them. The side-effect of this, is that we're also delaying the point in time when enough people have become immune to the virus to actually end the pandemic. So basically, in order to save lifes, we're enforcing measures that will prolong the pandemic.
On the other hand, from what I've read the vaccine front looks promising. Once a vaccine is ready, that will help immunise the population without the cost of life. However, that's still months away and we can't afford to remain under lockdown (or lockdownish) until then. So, once the health care preparation are complete, restrictions must inevitably lifted and the additional capacity, even if it's not to the same standards of care that we're used to, will be filled.
TITO Knight Master Commander Louisistan 79th Knight of TITO 28th Delegate of 10000 Islands Former Mayor of Taco Island Former TITO Tactical Officer and Executive Officer Former Senator for Lyonesse East
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XKI Generation: The Upgrade Generation XKI Map Nation Color: Red XKI NS Join Year: 210 - Saturday, 18 October 2014 Historical XKI Political Party: MSPP - Mayor Shelter Political Party Ancient House of: Ananke
I agree with much of what Louisistan says. The actual strategy for dealing with the epidemic is mostly about buying some more time. Using that time to increase health care capacity, study the virus, and develop treatment options are productive. The extent to which the media or the population is receiving that message is another matter.
Yesterday they officially extended our lockdown until May 1st. I'm hopeful we'll be let out before then, still.
Post by Jabberwocky on Mar 31, 2020 23:11:29 GMT -5
Wuhan, China is beginning to return to normality after about four months. I figure we have three months to go.
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We are not a communist dictatorship though. People aren't going to stay in their houses and not interact with anybody for two months. We also don't know if it will come back to China yet. If the US gets a lot more testing, I think this will be over in June or July. With the current amount of testing, somewhere between August and January.
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